Late
last week news leaked that American Public Media Group (“APMG”) is selling
Classical South Florida to the Educational Media Foundation (“EMF”) for $21,700,000
in cash. According to press reports, the
deal will be formally announced on Tuesday 7/15 and classical music will end
Wednesday 7/16 when EMF begins to operate WKCP and related stations via a Local
Management Agreement (“LMA”).
The
reason for the sale appears to be that Classical South Florida couldn’t pay the
mortgage. As we reported recently [link]
EMF is flush with cash and is the most active noncommercial station buyer and
seller in the past three years.
This
is a business deal. But it also conveys the message that even APMG couldn’t
make the classical music format work in one of largest markets in the country.
I am not saying this is good or bad – it is reality.
INSIDE THE SALE
APMG
bought the license for WKCP in 2007 for $20,000,000 and created Classical South
Florida (“CSF”) to operate it. APMG/CSF also acquired WPBI (formerly WXEL),
West Palm Beach, WNPS, Fort Myers to repeat WKCP. WPBI’s HD2 channel – repeated
on an FM translator – aired NPR News 24/7.
(We reported on WPBI's News FM earlier this year link.)
APMG
loaned CSF $10,000,000 in 2007 and $1,250,000 in 2014. APMG/CSF also received
over $9,000,000 in development bonds making the total debt load around
$30,000,000.
According
to CSF’s internal financial report, in 2014 CSF received $4,120,000 in revenue
including $2,182,000 from pledging and $1,340,000 from underwriting sales. Operating expenses in 2014 were over
$3,000,000 and debt service – The
Mortgage – was almost $1,900,000. This
meant a deficit of around $1,500,000.
Apparently
APMG saw CSF was never going to be able pay the debt. So they cashed in their
chips and cut their losses. APMG and CSF
had the best of intentions but revenue from classical music broadcasting wasn’t
going to rise to the level of sustainability.
BOTTOM LINE DECISIONS
The
folks at APMG are terrific public service broadcasters with a healthy respect
for the bottom line. You have to make
your budget goals at APMG. In fact, part of the compensation for APMG executives is
determined by performance compared to goals.
Classical
South Florida couldn’t meet their goals now they are toast. Could this happen
with other APMG ventures? Yes, of course it could.
WATCHING THE TREND LINES
We
all know that the classical music audience is quite older. I’ve heard that half
of the listeners are age 65 or older.
Not enough younger listeners are coming to the format to replace the
folks who exit. Check out this
comparison of KSJN, APMG’s classical flagship station in the Twin Cities, in
May 2015 and Fall 2000:
KSJN
|
AQH
SHARE
|
WEEKLY
CUME
|
WEEKLY
CUME RATING
|
NOTE
|
Fall 2000
|
3.3
|
226,600
|
6.7
|
Arbitron Diary Methodology
|
May 2015
|
1.7
|
168,700
|
5.4
|
Nielsen Audio PPM Methodology
|
Note: The data above
reflects two different survey methodologies.
KSJN
lost a substantial portion of its listening in the past 15 years. Project this trend for the next 15 years and
you see a road to oblivion.
Add
the fact that KSJN is at 99.5 FM, a commercial frequency, worth somewhere north
of $60,000,000. When the day comes, APMG will make a bottom line decision.
Ken, I don't dispute that classical's audience on the radio is dying out. But APM'a failure to capitalize on it is more a reflection of their poor execution. You can't succeed here by piping in (mostly) chamber music from a network.
ReplyDeleteI worked for WTMI which was one of the most successful _commercial_ classical stations in the U.S. We did it the right way: engaging the locally community and understanding their tastes. When Marlin sold the station to COX, it had little to do with poor performance. There was a lot of "inside baseball" I won't get into here.
When I was OM for WDNA, our sales and marketing whiz (who, like me, came from commercial radio) devised a lot of initiatives to attract a younger audience for its jazz programming. They worked, and the same can be done with classical.
Bottom line: the pubcasters are lost.