Wednesday, May 22, 2019

WHY ARE SO FEW PEOPLE LISTENING TO STATION STREAMING AUDIO?


Image courtesy of Amazon
“Melissa” works in an office tower in the Washington Square District of central Philadelphia. She is a fan and core listener of AAA WXPN-FM. 

When she started her job there a couple of years ago she found that it was difficult to receive WXPN’s signal because of the office tower’s bulky steal frame.

So Melissa listens to WXPN’s audio streaming on Alexia. But, according to data from Nielsen Audio, there are very few people in Philadelphia that listen to radio the way Melissa does. In fact, there are so few people listening to WXPN-FM's audio stream that it fails to meet Nielsen’s minimum criteria to be listed in the Philadelphia ‘book.”

WXPN is not the only major public radio with a dearth of streaming audio listeners. WBUR, WNYC-FM and KQED don’t have enough streaming audio listeners to meet Nielsen’s criteria to be listed.




We canvased the April PPM ratings for the top 25 radio markets in the nation and found only 14 public radio stations with enough streaming audio listeners that met Nielsen’s criteria. (See the chart on the left.)

There is no specific format that draws streaming listeners better than other formats. 

Geography doesn’t seem to make any difference. On average, these 14 stations get 6.4% of their total weekly cume.

There is one organization that appears to excel in drawing streaming audio listeners: Minnesota Public Radio (MPR). MPR’s KCMP The Current leads all public radio stations in percentage of streaming audio weekly listeners. We asked Jim McGuinn, PD at 89.3 The Current, why his station performs so well in this metric.  McGuinn told us:

Jim McGuinn
“We’ve seen streaming numbers growing over the past few years, not just in the Nielsen ratings, but more accurately, in our own numbers. Nielsen is prone to wide fluctuations – a smallish cume like 40,000 in Minneapolis is about 12 [PPM] meters out of 1,100, so one family could make it vary greatly.” 

“The Current’s audience is off the charts in terms of early adoption of technology, so not surprised we’d score higher than average with users with voice activated speakers, plugging phones into the car, etc.” 

“Most importantly, we want to meet our audience where they are at – and given the membership business model of public radio, we can monetize scattered listening to streams outside of home market more effectively than commercial radio.”




We noticed the same situation when looking at the April 2019 commercial radio streaming numbers for stations in the Top 25 markets.   

The chart on the left shows seven commercial stations where the weekly cume is greater than 40,000. 

We could find no distinctive pattern. But, Sports Talk WFAN-AM in New York has the nation’s largest streaming audio audience.

After seeing all this data, we have difficulty believing that there are so few people listening to station streams. It doesn't make sense. But the numbers are the numbers, so maybe we are wrong.

If the Nielsen numbers are true, the audience size for station-based streaming audio is about the same as the audience size for HD Radio (without a FM translator). HD Radio is considered by many media observers to be a failure. Does this mean that station-based streaming audio is…also a failure?

Mike Henry



We talked with researcher and consultant Mike Henry of Paragon Media Strategies to see whether he thinks the Nielsen PPM numbers for station streaming audio are accurate. 

Henry told us:

“Yes, these [numbers] line up with what I know to be true.  It shows the continued power of FM broadcast frequencies over digital streaming of the same content.  The streaming percentages should increase over time as people use more mobile and auto devices.



Still, the low percentage of listeners to station streaming audio seems to defy our own experience. Anecdotally, there are many people like Melissa in Philadelphia. This is how we listen to radio in our own office.

We contacted Nielsen for their perspective but they never replied to our emails.

In search of answers we contacted a well-known large market engineering consultant who requested not to be identified because of the sensitive nature of the topic. The consultant told us by email:  

“Typically a station has a separate encoder for their webcast, so a stream can be tracked separately from listening to AM/FM.  The problem is, most streaming listening is done over headphones, and it requires the PPM holder to connect their headphones through the PPM device. Many forget to do so.”

“But this is also true for listening to AM/FM over headphones, too.”

“This makes the reported streaming listening a real mess with no good way of really knowing for sure how much or how little streaming listening is really going on.  I always thought Nielsen should require stations submit streaming server logs every week/month to help reconcile things but they don't.”

“So, part of the problem might involve proper station set up of encoding devices and confusing instructions from Nielsen.”

Our consultant brought up another possible factor: Voltair, the black box some stations use to enhance the watermark that trips PPM meters
    
“Strictly speaking you need one Voltair device for each PPM encoder. There are a handful of broadcasters that are using PPM “wrong” by using one encoder for multiple broadcast outlets, and therefore might be using one Voltair for everything.” 

“To use Voltair properly, you need to spend the $16,000 for one Voltair device for the broadcasting chain and another $16,000 for the webcast encoder. That’s a lot of money for some media outlets.”

THE ANSWER IS TO MAKE THE RATINGS LESS MECHANICAL & MORE HUMAN BASED

While it is true that stations can do a better job promoting their streaming audio, the problem is that Nielsen's PPM methodology is too error-prone and impersonal.

It is time for an alternative methodology, such as interviews combined with (gulp) diaries. 

Promotional Item: 



8 comments:

  1. I know you're focusing on Nielsen PPM readings, but what about other sources of (better) streaming data like Triton analytics? We rolled up our broadcast and stream Nielsen numbers a while back so we don't get individual stream numbers from Nielsen (you make good points about not picking up encoding because of headphones, etc.) but our Triton numbers are to-the-listener accurate. Our streaming numbers (according to Triton) are tracking at about 12-13% of our combined weekly cume (from Nielsen), and we know that close to 40% (yes, you read that right) of our stream is consumed by smart speakers. That - in my opinion - is the future of a station's stream, and as such, there's no reason to believe that streaming is a "failure."

    ReplyDelete
  2. Thanks for your excellent input. I don't believe have access to station-level data from Triton. Please send a copyof the report you are citing.

    ReplyDelete
  3. The thing about Nielsen that you can't get from most any other method of audience data in streaming is that Nielsen knows an enourmous amount of data *about the panelists*. Sure, you can get much more precise data about how many people are listening at any given second. But you can't get a lot of useful info about who those people are. In many cases, you can't even tell if they're really people! (instead of bots)

    This isn't to excuse Nielsen per se, just something to keep in mind that server stats from Triton or wherever aren't necessarily the end-all/be-all of listener data.

    For what it's worth, I'm pretty sure that at The Public's Radio, our streaming will never show up in Nielsen's reporting. Mostly because our server capacity with StreamGuys is only about 700 simultaneous streams? Something like that. We've been gradually increasing it in 50-listener chunks as we bump up against the limit every about once a year.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Our streaming is provided by our university, no limit.

      I'm not sure why I'd have a bots tuning into little ol' KCUR....but maybe? The numbers we get don't appear to be out of the range of what we expect (and have had) for a couple of years plus growth.

      Although Nielsen has data about the panelists, if I had to pick or choose, in this case I'd rather have accurate numbers than statistical extrapolation based on a small number of panelists. Nielsen certainly can't tell me how they're listening: computer, mobile device, smart speaker. That information is helpful.

      Delete
    2. Never assume that you are too small to be attacked by malicious operators on the 'net. The cost barrier to entry is effectively zero, so it's easier to cast the widest net possible and attempt to hack everyone. Just think about how many Twitter followers your station account has. Now realize that at least 20%, possibly as much as 75%, of those followers are fake accounts in one way or another.

      Your stream server stats can sort-of tell you how they're listening. You can create different mount points for each vector to get at the stream. But these can be fooled; I've seen it happen. For example, you can create a mount point for "alexa" to track listening to your Skill, and have a separate mount point for "tunein". But a lot of smart speaker listening is through TuneIn, so it'll skew your results.

      And those server stats that report what browser or operating system a listner uses are so easy to for the server to get wrong that it's almost useless.

      This isn't to denigrate server stats. Just to point out that, like Nielsen, they have some significant limitations. As long as you are aware of these limitations and adjust your analysis accordingly, it's all good.

      Delete
  4. Hi Ken, John Sutton here from WESA in Pittsburgh. While it is important to understand the role and value of streaming, it can’t be done with publicly available data and it can’t be done with Cume. There are several reasons for this.

    First, the absence of reported streaming data in Nielsen does not mean a lack of streaming audience. The majority of public radio stations have their estimated streaming audience rolled-up into their Total Line Reporting. Their radio and streaming numbers are not reported separately by choice. So one cannot compare rolled-up station data with stations that report out separately.

    Second, there is likely duplicated Cume for stations that do report broadcast and stream audiences separately. Since there is no way to tell from the public data how much of a station’s streaming Cume is unique to the stream, there is no way to show how much new Cume the stream is adding. Third, Nielsen reports in-market listening. It does not report out-of-market listening, which can be part of a station’s streaming strategy. While that’s not the case at WESA, our Triton data show that about 25% of our online listening occurs outside of our DMA.

    We estimate the WESA stream increases our in-market listening by 5% to 6%. Is that worth it? The answer is yes, even if there is no new Cume. Streaming is a small incremental investment against the sunk costs of our programming. For example, in-market streaming generates almost 3 times as much listening to WESA as Wait Wait Don’t Tell Me - at around half the cost of the program. So it is not just cheap distribution, it is generating valuable listening that might otherwise not come to the station. And if that listening is by our current Core – listening we might have otherwise lost to a digital competitor - then that is even more valuable to us than adding new Cume.

    ReplyDelete
  5. A couple of things to keep in mind. First, if a station's over-the-air and streaming signals are 100% simulcast they are eligible for Total Line Reporting (TLR). In those cases you would not see a separate breakout of the streaming numbers. Second, for those that are not simulcasting Nielsen requires a separate encoder which means an additional cost to the station. Certainly, stations know their exact streaming numbers from their server side data but Nielsen does not have access to that. We have seen an increase in streaming numbers in Nielsen in some markets. However, and to your point, logic dictates it should be higher. After all, stations are running countless promos instructing their listeners on how to set up their smart speakers for listening.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Thank you for the additional information and perspective. I will report more on this topic next week.

    ReplyDelete