According
to Nielsen Audio PPM ratings for Fall 2018, the number of weekly listeners to
the Top 20 noncommercial stations was up 6.8% compared to Fall 2016. Spark News
is paying special attention to the changes between 2016 and 2018 because many NPR News/Talk
stations had record high ratings during the “election book.”
PLEASE NOTE: Carl Nelson from RRC sent this message: "RRC
may not have been able to provide complete estimates due to Nielsen reporting
changes."
Next week we will provide Nielsen PPM data for 55 fulltime NPR News/Talk stations; 27 full-time Classical music stations; 13 fulltime Jazz music stations; 16 fulltime AAA music stations; plus the top Americana, Alternative Rock, Urban Hits and Contemporary Christian Music (CCM) stations.
These
are the key questions we will attempt to answer with the Nielsen PPM data:
1. How are NPR
News/Talk stations doing in Fall 2018 compared to Fall 2016? How many stations
are better off in Fall 2018 than they were in Fall 2016?
2. Will AAA music
stations remain the number three public radio format behind News/Talk and
Classical music? Has the audience for Jazz music stations increased or
decreased?
3. Will Classical music
stations keep defying demographic gravity by adding new listeners and/or
maintaining their current listening base?
4. Are more people
listening to public radio and other noncommercial stations in Fall 2018 than
were in Fall 2016? Which formats are performed the best?
On
the left are two charts that show the top 20 noncommercial stations in Fall
2018, based on their estimated weekly listeners during the rating period.
PPM data for the same stations from Fall 2016 and two year trends are also shown.
We
did not have 2016 data for one station, CCM KKLQ in Los Angeles. KKLQ signed on
in 2017.
We
added the estimated weekly listeners for the remaining 19 stations and tabulated
the hypothetical number of weekly listeners for Fall 2018 and Fall 2016. In
Fall 2018 there were 11,295,400 weekly listeners to the 19 stations, up 6.8% from
10,527,100 weekly listeners in Fall 2016.
Common
wisdom is that fewer people were listening to radio in 2018 than 2016, but this
is not true for the 19 top stations.
Of
the Top 20 stations, 12 (60%) had a NPR News/Talk format, 4 (20%) had a CCM
format, 3 (15%) had a Classical format and 1 (5%) had a Jazz format. 13 of the
20 stations (65%) had more estimated weekly listeners in Fall 2018 than Fall
2016.
THE VANISHING NEWS
LISTENERS IN IOWA
Yesterday
we reported about the dramatic drop in estimated weekly listeners and AQH share
to Iowa Public Radio’s (IPR) two channels that provide NPR News in Cedar Rapids.
We have re-posted the Cedar Rapids data on the left.
The
number of weekly listeners to IPR fulltime news/talk format in Cedar Rapids
dropped 58% in Fall 2018 compared to Fall 2016. Dual format Studio One (NPR
News & AAA) fell 46% during the same period.
We
said yesterday that we would examine other markets with IPR stations to see if
their two-year trends were different than Cedar Rapids.
We
also contacted representatives of IPR for their comments, Unfortunately, they
had not yet seen the Fall 2018 Nielsen ratings and therefore couldn’t comment.
On
the left are the numbers for Waterloo-Cedar Falls, the smallest of the four
Iowa markets served by IPR.
The
pattern was the same as what we observed in Cedar Rapids.
The
estimated number weekly listeners in Waterloo-Cedar Falls was down by 55% and weekly
listeners to Studio One dropped by 17% in Fall 2018 compared with Fall 2016.
We
found these changes to be almost beyond belief, particularly for IPR’s Studio
One. The local signal for both Waterloo and Cedar Rapids, KUNI-FM is perhaps the
most powerful signal in the state.
In
Des Moines, Iowa's largest market, the results were somewhat different.
IPR’s
Studio One was down in both AQH share and estimated weekly listeners. WOI-FM is
the flagship station of IPR’s Studio One channel.
But,
fulltime IPR News increased its AQH share and weekly listeners remained stable.
WOI-AM is the flagship of IPR’s NPR News/Talk format.
The
top performer in Des Moines was the University of Northwestern’s CCM station
KNWS-FM. Northwestern had the top station in three of the four markets where
IPR competes.
Billy
Graham founded Northwestern’s radio service in the 1940s and 1950s. To learn
more about Graham and the Northwestern stations, please see our February 2018
post [link]. We consider it one our best essays.
The
Quad Cities (Davenport and Bettendorf in Iowa and Rock Island and Moline in
Illinois) is a difficult market to evaluate.
IPR’s Studio One channel was up in
both AQH share and weekly listeners. IPR’s fulltime News/Talk channel is not a
significant factor in the market.
The
top noncom station in the Quads is WGVV-LP, an Urban Hits community phenomenon with
a big audience footprint.
It is one of a
handful of LPFM stations supported by CPB and has, perhaps, the largest
audience of any LPFM station in the nation.
KALA
is an outlier. The station, licensed to St. Ambrose University, has a “stealth”
format. We could not find a program schedule for KALA anywhere on the station’s
website or social media pages. The slogan for the station might be “KALA: Where We Keep You Guessing.”
Inexplicable significant rises and drops are pretty typical for diary small markets like Cedar Rapids. This is true for commercial radio stations as well. You get one household whose 16 year old fills out all 4 diaries and you see a 2 point drop, even though you did nothing wrong. I wouldn't put a lot of consideration until I saw the back to back book trends.
ReplyDelete